Renewable Energy Certificates in Africa: Market Analysis and Outlook (2025)

Introduction

Renewable energy certificates (RECs) are instruments representing the environmental attributes of one megawatt-hour (MWh) of renewable electricity. In Africa they are issued mainly under the International Renewable Energy Certificate (I-REC) standard, which is managed by the International Tracking Standard (I-TRACK) Foundation.

Other labels such as Peace Renewable Energy Credits (P-RECs) and Distributed Renewable Energy Certificates (D-RECs) are impact-focused variants that channel revenues to renewable projects in fragile or off-grid settings.

The African REC market is relatively young but is beginning to attract attention from corporate buyers, developers and financial institutions, particularly as climate-related reporting (Scope 2 emissions and the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism – CBAM) tightens.

Market Volume

Global I-REC Issuance (2023)

In 2023 the I-REC system issued 283 million certificates (283 TWh), a 42% increase compared with 2022.

Global I-REC Redemptions

Redemptions grew 81% to 176 million certificates (176 TWh) in 2023.

Africa's Electricity Generation (2023)

Africa generated 902.9 TWh of electricity in 2023, of which 56.7 TWh (≈6%) came from renewable sources.

REC Issuance vs Renewable Generation

Only 1.7 TWh of energy attribute certificates (EACs) were issued on the continent, representing just 3% of its renewable generation.

Major African REC Projects

South Africa, Nigeria and Morocco recorded annual growth above 80%, and Burkina Faso saw its first issuance in 2023.

Country Project Estimated Annual I-REC Issuance
Nigeria Shiroro hydro (600 MW), Dadin Kowa hydro (40 MW) 3.5-3.7 million I-RECs
South Africa Numerous wind and solar projects via zaRECs registry Not disclosed (largest issuer in Africa)
Morocco Khalladi wind farm (120 MW) Not disclosed (potential: several million/year)
Kenya First Kenyan I-REC project (solar) 100,000 I-RECs
Uganda Bugoye small hydro 18,560 I-RECs (2020 sale)

Price Dynamics

Standard I-REC Prices

Standard I-REC prices in Africa are estimated to range from approximately USD 1 to USD 5 per MWh, depending on technology and country.

Premium REC Prices

P-RECs trade at a significant premium, with average purchase prices of USD 40-50 per MWh, funding community infrastructure in fragile regions.

Market Participants

Issuing Bodies

  • Green Certificate Company (GCC) - default issuer for 13 African countries
  • South African Bureau of Standards (SABS) - national issuer for South Africa
  • National Standards Bodies - in Ghana, Kenya, Ivory Coast, Nigeria, Tanzania, Uganda
  • Energy Peace Partners (EPP) - issues P-RECs for fragile states

Corporate Buyers

  • Google
  • Amazon
  • Microsoft
  • Apple
  • Meta
  • Growthpoint Properties (South Africa)

Large multinational corporations are driving REC demand to meet net-zero commitments.

Intermediaries & Brokers

  • Ecohz
  • STX Group
  • Monsoon Carbon
  • Aera Group
  • Fuel Switch
  • VC4A / D-RECs Initiative

Outlook and Recommendations (2025–2030)

Growth Potential

Africa had 2.4 GW of installed solar capacity in 2024, with growth expected to exceed 42% in 2025.

Regulatory Development

Countries should establish national REC registries and clear regulations to increase trust and reduce administrative hurdles.

Corporate Procurement

African companies should prepare for Scope 2 reporting and CBAM by procuring RECs, especially in export-oriented sectors.

References

  1. Democratising Renewable Energy Certificates in South Africa. (n.d.). ESI-Africa.com. Retrieved from https://www.esi-africa.com/news/democratising-renewable-energy-certificates-in-south-africa/
  2. I-REC(E) Market Statistics. (n.d.). I-TRACK. Retrieved from https://www.trackingstandard.org/6559-2/
  3. Grigorov, V. (2024). [Presentation on energy attribute certificate markets]. I-TRACK Foundation. Retrieved from https://www.trackingstandard.org/wp-content/uploads/6A-Vladimir-Grigorov.pdf
  4. Companies can now buy renewable energy in West Africa. (n.d.). Ecohz. Retrieved from https://www.ecohz.com/press-releases/companies-can-now-buy-renewable-energy-in-west-africa
  5. Monsoon Launches a New Hydropower I-REC Project in Nigeria. (n.d.). Monsoon Carbon. Retrieved from https://monsooncarbon.com/monsoon-launches-a-new-hydropower-i-rec-project-in-nigeria/
  6. Moroccan wind farm certified 'green' by Dubai Carbon. (n.d.). Technical Review Middle East. Retrieved from https://technicalreviewmiddleeast.com/power-a-water/renewables/moroccan-wind-farm-certified-green-by-dubai-carbon
  7. Monsoon Carbon Registers the First I-REC Project in Kenya. (n.d.). Monsoon Carbon. Retrieved from https://monsooncarbon.com/monsoon-carbon-registers-the-first-i-rec-project-in-kenya/
  8. Aera Group. (n.d.). Aera Group closes its first ever renewable energy certificate transaction. Retrieved from https://www.aera-group.fr/news-and-insights/news-and-insights/aera-closed-its-first-ever-renewable-energy-certificate-transaction
  9. Unlocking Value: The Case for Certification in African Solar Energy. (2025). Ecofin Agency. Retrieved from https://www.ecofinagency.com/news-industry/2207-47784-unlocking-value-the-case-for-certification-in-african-solar-energy
  10. South Pole and D-RECs Initiative. (n.d.). VC4A. Retrieved from https://vc4a.com/south-pole/south-pole-and-d-recs/
  11. Issuers. (n.d.). I-TRACK. Retrieved from https://www.trackingstandard.org/issuers/
  12. P-REC. (n.d.). Energy Peace Partners. Retrieved from https://www.energypeacepartners.com/prec
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  14. Energy Peace Partners leading effort to promote renewable credits for 'fragile' regions. (2024, March 27). S&P Global. Retrieved from https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/energy-transition/032724-energy-peace-partners-leading-effort-to-promote-renewable-credits-for-fragile-regions
  15. Vintage 2025 and Vintage 2024 I-RECs - Market Insights for H1. (2024, August). Hestiya. Retrieved from https://www.hestiya.com/journal/vintage-2025-and-vintage-2024-i-recs-market-insights-for-h1
  16. The market outlook for International Renewable Energy Certificates. (n.d.). Ecohz. Retrieved from https://www.ecohz.com/news/irec-market-outlook
  17. Benchmarking Africa's Minigrids Report 2024. (2024). African Minigrid Developers Association. Retrieved from https://www.africanida.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Benchmarking-Africas-Minigrids-Report-2024-Online-version.pdf